Weekday Wagering

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Good morning race fans!  I am headed back for the 4th day of Keeneland’s Fall Meet today, 10/7/15, and I have a little gift, or two, for you from our contributing handicapper!

On the 8th race you may want to go with the 8th horse.  He says, “Stand Guard could improve dramatically, from last start, and be a nice price!”  Race 8 at Keeneland today is 1 and 1/16 miles on the dirt .  It is a maiden special weight race for 2 year olds with a purse of $65,000.  The race should occur at 4:47 PM EST.  Stand Guard is a Kentucky bred horse sired by Awesome Again.  His dam is North Cork.  He has only raced once previously.  That was at Churchill Downs this past September when he finished 5th.  His jockey is Shaun Bridgmohan.  Wayne M. Catalano is the trainer with Gary and May West Stables, LCC for owners.  I’m hoping this colt has a big day at the track today and maybe makes each of you some money.

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As for gift number 2… here’s one more tip.  On Thursday, 10/8/15, look to race #6 at Keeneland and perhaps pick #7.  The tipster said, “Cha Mono ran well last time, at Kentucky Downs, after being in tight early.  Greg Foley (trainer) is a solid 23% switching from turf to dirt.” Race 6 is scheduled to go off at 3:51 PM EST.  It is a race for 3 year olds and up which have never won 2 races.  The purse is $58,000 and the race is 6 and 1/2 furlongs on the dirt.  Cha Mono has had 11 career starts.  In his 1st four races he was always 2nd or third.  Then he won 1st at Ellis Park in July of 2014.  Since then he struggled for the next 4 races before coming in at 2nd and 3rd in his last two starts.  If his history repeats, it looks like he is due for a win this time.  This 4 year old gelding is Kentucky bred between First Samurai and Gregoriana.  His jockey is Corey J. Lanerie.  He is owned by Golden Shamrock Farms, LCC. and trained by Gregory D. Foley.  It would be sweet if Thursday is Cha Mono’s day to win!

I hope each of you enjoyed the tips!  Have some great weekdays at the races.  I wish to see you there.  Drop me a comment, please.  Thanks again!

Update:  Both Stand Guard and Cha Mono came in 4th in their races.  Look for my next post.  Hoping for better luck tomorrow!

 

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Preakness Planning

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Here we are, its 5/16/15, time for the 140th running of the Grade I Preakness Stakes!  In the lucky 13th Pimlico race of the day, at 6:18 p.m. EST, the 1.5 million dollar purse race will begin.  Just 8 of 14 possible horses, the smallest field since 2000, are competing in this race and only one of them could someday be a Triple Crown winner!

The Preakness Stakes takes place at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland.  Just like the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes it shares the same dirt track, flower, and drink.  See yesterdays post Filly Friday.  They also eat crabcakes, yuk!  To make the Black-Eyed Susan flower blanket, for the winning horse, since 1940, they painted the centers of about 4 thousand daisies black, now they use Viking Poms.  I fudged a little on my own flower pic above too and darkened up the middle.  The race is called “The Run for the Black-Eyed Susans.”  The reason they use the wrong flower is because the Black Eyed Susan blooms in June in Maryland and it is only May so daisies are in season.  I just need to take more flower pictures, myself.  The winning owner gets a silver trophy replica of The Woodlawn Vase, made in 1860 and valued at 1 million dollars.  This copy is sterling valued at $30,000.  They also paint the jockey silks on the weather vane on top of the Old Clubhouse to match the winning owner’s colors after the race is won.  The song of the day is “Maryland, My Maryland.”  It reminds me of “O Christmas Tree.”

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The first race occurred in 1873.  By 1932 it was the second leg of the Triple Crown series. Secretariat ran the speed record at 1:53.  Smarty Jones won by the most lengths at 11 and 1/2.

Let’s check out the contenders, listed in post position…

  1. American Pharoah
  2. Dortmund
  3. Mr. Z
  4. Danzig Moon
  5. Tale of Verve
  6. Bodhisattva
  7. Divining Rod
  8. Firing Line

I want a Triple Crown winner.  We have not seen one since 1978 with Affirmed.  Thus, I’m pulling for the favorite, American Pharoah.  The KY Derby was his 5th win straight of 6 starts.  4 of those wins were Grade I stakes. He won an Eclipse Award at 2 years old.  This horse won the KY Derby by a length.  He is a California horse just like last years winner, California Chrome.  Right next to American Pharoah on the rail is Dortmund, these two horses have the same trainer Bob Baffert.  All 3 of his previous KY Derby winners have gone on to win the Preakness.  Baffert  has trained 5 Preakness winners total.  Dortmond lost his first race ever at the KY Derby but still managed to come in 3rd, 3 lengths behind the winner.  Mr. Z was just involved in a quick sale.  He was owned by Zayat Stables when he came in 13th in a field of 18 at the KY Derby.  Just days ago, Calumet Farm in Lexington, KY bought him and decided to give him the chance Zayat was not.  Zayat still has American Pharoah in the race and he was going to give Mr. Z a break to build confidence.  The trainer, D. Wayne Lukas, remained throughout and he thinks the horse is ready now.  The fun thing about studying horse racing is the learning.  I would have figured horses hated the transportation part but his trainer says the scenic van ride from Kentucky to Maryland was very good for the horse.  Calumet Farms has the most wins of any owner in the Preakness.  Lukas has the 2nd most wins of any trainer in the Preakness. Danzig Moon also ran in the KY Derby.  He came in 5th place running from the 5th pole position. This Thoroughbred is close to the same post now.  He lost by more than 6 lengths.  Of the 8 horses running the Preakness, 5 ran in the KY Derby and he was the 2nd to last of these.  Jockey Julien Leparoux did prefer this horse to ride over Divining Rod.  Tale of the Verve wanted to run in the KY Derby but he didn’t make the cut.  He has won a Gr. I stakes of the same length as the Preakness. He won his maiden race at Keeneland.  Tale of the Verve is probably your biggest long shot of the day.  Bodhisattva was not a KY Derby horse.  He is however, the only horse in the race with a win at Pimlico.  Divining Rod did not run in the KY Derby either.  He is probably the best of the 3 without KY Derby experience.   This horse did win the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland and he has Javier Castellano for a jockey.  He just won the 2015 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes at this same track yesterday!  Last but not least, Firing Line, was 2nd place by a length in the KY Derby.  Thus we have the top 3 KY Derby horses running in the Preakness.  That has happened 7 times in the prior 20 years and never have they come in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd in repeat order.

My handicapper says, “Historically, horses that win the derby from on or near the pace do extremely well in the Preakness. Derby winners that come from far back have struggled in the Preakness. Since the top three finishers in the KY Derby were all very close to the lead, I expect all three of them to run very well in Baltimore. I will be boxing American Pharoah, Firing Line, and Dortmund in the exacta and I’ll add Danzig Moon in a trifecta and superfecta box.”

My tipster also inspired me to consider the strong possibility of rain.  Looks like the favorite American Pharoah loves mud 34 horses have won the KY Derby and the Preakness.  Fingers crossed, I want the chance at the Triple Crown!

Update: A record crowd of 131,680 attended the Preakness to see American Pharoah win. This was the 14th time since 1978’s Triple Crown that a horse has won both the KY Derby at the Preakness.  Finish order was:

  1. American Pharoah
  2. Tale of Verve
  3. Divining Rod
  4. Dortmund
  5. Mr. Z
  6. Danzig M00n
  7. Firing Line
  8. Bodhisattva  

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Filly Friday

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My mom grew these pretty flowers in her yard, right here in Kentucky, but they happen to be Maryland’s state flower and also the name sake, for the second jewel of the de facto Filly Triple Crown, the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes.

Friday, 5/15/15, Pimlico Race Course will host the 91st running of this race.  At 4:50 p.m. EST in race 11, nine 3 year old fillies will compete to make history and a $250,000 purse, the smallest amount in 4 years.  Pimlico is located in Baltimore, Maryland.  This race was created in 1919 and at that time was called the Pimlico Oaks.  It wasn’t until 1952 that the name was changed to the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, named for this 13 petaled flower representing MD as one of the 13 original colonies.  They made a drink by that name as well, The Black-Eyed Susan Recipe.  This dirt race is 1 and 1/8 miles or 9 furlongs.  It 1st became a graded race in 1973 and has held Gr. II since 1976.  The fastest time is 1:41:20 and the largest win is by 9 lengths.

The Filly Triple Crown is generally comprised of the Kentucky Oaks held at Churchill Downs, the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes and the Acorn Stakes at Belmont Park.  Some may argue that this isn’t the correct line up but these are the three races that match the counterparts to the Triple Crown; The Kentucky Derby, The Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes.  There are other important filly races and New York has there own Triple Tiara too.  There have only been 3 horses to win the Filly Triple Crown.  Those were Wistful in 1949, Real Delight in 1952 and Davona Dale in 1979.  Each of these Thoroughbreds were bred and owned by Calumet Farm in Lexington, KY.  Nellie Morse ran and won the Pimlico Oaks and the Preakness stakes back in 1924.  She was the fourth filly to win the Pimlico Oaks and no filly did that again until 2009, she is Rachel Alexandra, also born in Lexington,KY.

This year’s Black-Eyed Susan Stakes isn’t just about one race.  It got its own day!  The 1st post starts a 12 p.m. and for just $10, those who attend, get 14 races, 7 of those being stakes races, and 5 live bands.  I love living in the horse capital of the world but now would be a great time to visit Baltimore.  The Maryland Jockey group developed Empowerment 3600 to make this day “The Ultimate Girls Day Out” by partnering with groups year round for development of healthier and happier lives. They chose to fund raise for Susan G. Komen, for breast cancer and Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance, for retired horses.  The bands are the Gin Blossoms, Fuel, Vertical Horizon, The Reagan Years, and Margaret Valentine.  The final race of the day is the Pimlico Special.  This is a Gr. III race for horses 3 and older.   This year all ten contenders are 4 and 5 years of age.  The race is 1 and 3/16 or 9.5 furlongs on the dirt.  This is the same race that Seabiscuit beat War Admiral in, back in 1938.  There are some good betting opportunities this day.  The Black-Eyed Susan Stakes has a gifted field, so anything could happen there and the day holds two 50 cent pick 4s and one 50 cent pick 5 with guaranteed pools.  Also, there is a daily double that flows into the following day for the Preakness.

So, what about this gifted field, all bred in Kentucky, listed in post position…

  1. Danessa Deluxe
  2. Pure
  3. Ahh Chocolate
  4. Gypsy Judy
  5. Include Betty
  6. Sweetgrass
  7. Devine Aida
  8. Luminance
  9. Keen Pauline

Danessa Deluxe is the second favorite.  She has just 1 start this year in which she placed in a Gr. II.  She has had 6 starts total.   This race will be long for her.  Pure has 3 starts in 2015 and 7 lifetime.  She won her maiden in San Anita last month.  Ahh Chocolate won her race at Keeneland and she is undefeated but has only had 2 starts total.  She is the third favorite and runs off the pace.  Gypsy Judy has had her eye on this race for sometime.  She is slower but of 5 starts she has won twice, placed once and showed once.  Include Betty is the only horse in this race that just ran 2 weeks ago in the Kentucky Oaks.  That makes her our only hope for a Filly Triple Crown this year.  She finished 8th in the Oaks after getting bumped and running into too much traffic.  She finished 7 lengths behind the winner, Lovely Maria, who shares her same owner.  Include Betty has had 8 starts and is a graded stakes winner.  She is the 1st horse to run this race following the Oaks since 2010.  She likes to run from behind and this is the horse I want to see win.  Sweetgrass, with 4 starts has 2 wins and 2 shows.  Her last race was at Keeneland where she won.  Devine Aida has 6 races in her past in which she was 1st four times and 2nd once as well.  She is a multiple stakes winner.  Luminance is the favorite.  She is trained by Bob Baffert.  He pulled her out of contention for the KY Oaks pretty late saying he intended to enroll her in this race and the Acorn.  She has a stellar pedigree. She likes to jump up front then sit off the pace.  In 3 starts she has 2 wins and one place.  Finally, we have Keen Pauline.  She has the same jockey, Javier Castellano, as last years winner, Stopchargingmaria.  She has no wins of 2 starts this year but in her last 4 races she ran 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th in that order.

Cheers to the ladies.  I’m pulling for the Filly Triple Crown!

Update!  There will not be a Filly Triple Crown winner this year.  Congratulations to Keen Pauline!

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Goodbye My Love

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For better or worse and for freeze advisory this late in the season, brr!  This is your last chance at Keeneland’s Spring Meet.

The handicapper says, in Race 8 choose #5 Eastwood for 4/24/15.  He raced against some very nice sprinters in New York last summer and is working well for his return.

I had my last personal visit to the track for the season today. It was wonderful and emotional.  If you can make it to tomorrow’s final live races, bet this one for me and all of of our followers!

Update: The tip was spot on. Eastwood won 1st place!

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So sorry to see the season end. Its time to focus on the Kentucky Derby now!

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A Thought For Thursday

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Here is a nice picture I took from the stalls in Keeneland’s paddock.  In the background there is one of the racetrack’s newer extensions.  It is the Saddling Paddock Chalet.  This is a private room with nice views available for the Spring and Fall Meets this year and the Breeders’ Cup Championships.

On the topic of extensions, my tipster chose Town Extension, as today’s best bet.  In Keeneland’s sixth race today, 4/23/15, pick horse #9. He has been a very consistent horse finishing in the money 7 of the last 8 races. He should show a nice late kick on the Keeneland turf course.

This 5 year old gray beauty has Paco Lopez for a jockey.  Barclay Tagg is his trainer. Town Extension is owned by Charles Fipke. This is his first race at Keeneland.  This horse has had 15 starts and the last 6, over the course of 3 years, have been at Gulfstream Park.

Let’s give this Thoroughbred a warm Kentucky welcome and win!

Update! Town Extension won 1st place.  Here are some pictures I took myself:

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Tomorrow’s tip to follow!

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It’s Earth Day, Let’s Dance!

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Happy Earth Day!  I am going to spend my day checking out some earth, particularly the dirt, or mud in Kentucky.  It is another rainy day at the races for me.  Keeneland’s Spring Meet is on its final 3 days and rain or shine I want to experience it all.

My handicapping friend has another tip for us today, 4/22/15.  He says in Keeneland’s sixth race go for horse # 6, Dance Champion.  He calls this your best bet of the day.  This horse just ran second at this distance last time out and should get a nice trip! This last race was at Gulfstream Park in March.  See that placing race here.

Dance Champion has jockey Joel Rosario.  The 4 year old gelding’s trainer is Christophe Clement. His owner and breeder is Robert S. Evans.

Time to get ready for the races.  Have a great day, don’t forget to dance and celebrate for Earth Day and win big!

Update: Here are some paddock pics, that I took myself, of today’s big winner!

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Dance Champion did score 1st place today!  Hope all of you won bragging rights at the water cooler or better yet at a racetrack!

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Pulpit to Paddock

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Good morning everyone.  After listening to your reverend on the pulpit this morning come watch Reverend Green on the paddock and track today at Keeneland.

In race 6 (4/19/15) bet on #7 Reverend Green to win his maiden race.  He has solid work tabs, especially in the two recent Keeneland works. He should be ready to win at first asking, says our tipster. He worked out at Keeneland on the 2nd and 8th of this month and then again today.

He is a 3 year old colt owned by Glencrest Farm.  His dam, Papa to Kinzie, had 9 starts and placed in a graded stakes race.  His sire, Elusive Quality, is a multiple graded stakes winner. His trainer is Thomas Proctor and his jockey is Jamie Theriot.  Reverend Green has had no starts while Proctor has had 128 this year so far and is a top earning winner of multiple graded stakes and Breeders’ Cup achievements. Theriot has had 183 starts this year and he too is a winner of many graded stakes and Breeders’ Cup races.

On a side note, Reverend Green is also a nickname for America singer, Al Green. He has had success with both secular and gospel recordings.

Update: Reverend Green was not a winner today.  I stood in the paddock today to watch this rain shy beauty.  He looked dry and warm in his shelter while I was neither.  Here are a few paddock pics of this horse.

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Tip on the Turf

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Tipster says: Most likely winner, Hootenanny.  He’s won against the best in the world. Wesley Ward should have him ready to beat this bunch.

So today (4/18/15) look to Keeneland’s 4th race for another double feature. Go for horse 1 and 1A to bet on Asia and Hootenanny.

The trainer, Ward, has had 149 starts this year. His horses have had 40 wins, 27 at 2nd place and 20 running third in 2015. He is a successful jockey turned trainer.  Hootenanny won Ward his first race, as a trainer, in the 2014 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf.

Should be a beautiful day for another turf race.  I hope all of you have a great day at the races!

Update: Asia scratched prior to the race but Hootenanny ran 1st place! I hope this helped you all to win.

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Seventh Heaven

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Coming off of a high from today’s winning tip I am eager to share my handicapper’s next choice with all of you.

Tomorrow (4/17/15) for Keeneland’s seventh race, go with #10 Harvey.  The tip states he broke his maiden impressively after being bumped hard at the break. Trainer Bret Calhoun had a nice winner Thursday and seems to have brought several nice horses to Keeneland this meet.

I am glad he put it that way.  It gives us a chance to learn a bit more.  A horse is a maiden until it wins a race.  This could be the first race it starts in, it may take years or worse, it may never happen.  Harvey is a three year old colt that ran 1st at Fair Grounds in Louisiana on 3/21/15.  Thus, Harvey is no longer a maiden.  Watch him win here:

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Harvey was sired by the great Curlin, elected to the National Muesum of Racing’s Hall of Fame and winner of the Preakness Stakes, Breeders’ Cup Classic, and the Dubai World Cup.

Enjoy tomorrow’s racing!

Update: Harvey ran second. A ticket to place earned $5.40.  He was shy in the paddock prior to racing.  Here is a picture I took moments before he entered the track…

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Double Play

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Thursday (4/16/15), at Keeneland we will have another chance to bet on two Ken and Sarah Ramsey horses for one ticket.  In race 3 they have entered Thirtysilverpieces and Frat Boy in positions 2 and 2B.  Position 2 is a 3 year old gelding with R M Hernandez riding and W A Ward training.  2B is a 3 year old colt with J Castellano riding and M J Maker training.  My handicapper thinks either part of the #2 entry should win race 3.

Don’t miss your chance to double the pleasure and double the fun!

Update: Racing fans, this one was a winner! Thirtysilverpieces won first without the help of Frat Boy who sctratched.

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